College Football Rundown — Week 13 (2025)
Welcome back, Rundown Nation — Week 13 is here, and the playoff race is officially in “no mulligans left” mode.
The top of the board stayed steady in Week 12 as #1 Ohio State (10–0), #2 Indiana (11–0), and #3 Texas A&M (10–0) all remained perfect, while the one-loss contenders behind them kept stacking wins.
Episodes drop Wed night / Thu AM all season.
Find us at collegefootballrundown.com • X/Twitter: @WWCFB • Instagram: @college_football_rundown • Join the Discord.
Host: Kyle Wahl
Guests: Michael Storey (regular), Josh Harlow (special guest)
Theme: “Short Numbers, Style Points, and Staying Alive in November”
Week 12 Rewind — What Mattered for Bettors
#15 Southern California vs Iowa
- USC’s offense never found rhythm against Iowa’s disciplined defense.
- Iowa controlled tempo and field position, forcing USC into long third downs.
- Takeaway: Iowa continues to deliver elite situational defense, ideal for unders and low-possession betting environments.
LSU vs Arkansas
- LSU leaned on its defense to grind out a low-scoring win.
- Arkansas moved the ball but failed repeatedly inside the red zone with negative plays and turnovers.
- Takeaway: LSU’s defense remains the backbone; markets may keep shading totals down until the offense flashes life.
#9 Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh
- Notre Dame opened up in the second half with efficient QB play and strong interior running.
- Pitt couldn’t match the Irish’s explosiveness once adjustments were made.
- Takeaway: Notre Dame looks complete again heading into the stretch run.
#4 Georgia vs #17 Texas
- Georgia’s defense dictated the game, eliminating Texas’ big-play shots and forcing long drives.
- Texas protected the ball better than usual but couldn’t generate chunk gains.
- Takeaway: Georgia looks like the most balanced team among the one-loss playoff hopefuls.
#5 Oklahoma at Alabama
- Physical, playoff-caliber football on both sides.
- Alabama’s defense held firm in the red zone, limiting Oklahoma’s explosive plays.
- Takeaway: Both teams remain top-tier; Alabama’s consistency on defense may hold greater market trust moving forward.
Games of the Show — Week 13 Deep Dive
#22 Missouri (7–3) @ #8 Oklahoma (8–2)
Sat 11:00 AM CT (ABC) • Line: Oklahoma -7.5 | Total: 42.5
- CFP leverage game in Norman.
- Missouri’s power run game (RB A. Hardy, 1,300+ yards, 15 TDs) meets Oklahoma’s vertical offense.
- Tight spread and low total → “script matters” game: OU + over for track meet, Mizzou + under for grind.
#11 BYU (9–1) @ Cincinnati (7–3)
Sat 7:00 PM CT (ESPN2) • Line: BYU -2.5 | Total: 54.5
-
11 BYU remains alive in the one-loss CFP mix.
- Balanced Cougar offense with RB L. Martin and WR C. Roberts faces a scrappy Bearcats defense.
- Classic “short road favorite” spot; discussion centered on when to play moneyline vs laying the number.
#15 Southern California (8–2) @ #7 Oregon (9–1)
Sat 2:30 PM CT (NBC / Peacock) • Line: Oregon -10.5 | Total: 59.5
- Top-15 matchup with playoff implications.
- Oregon needs style points to keep pace in the one-loss race.
- USC’s high-variance defense could turn this into a shootout if Oregon’s tempo picks up early.
#22 Pittsburgh (7–3) @ #16 Georgia Tech (9–1)
Sat 6:00 PM CT (NBC) • Line: Georgia Tech -2.5 | Total: 62.5
- Ranked ACC showdown with CFP fringe stakes.
- GT QB H. King (2,200 pass / 800 rush) is the X-factor vs Pitt’s disciplined front.
- High total signals confidence in both offenses; live totals discussed based on early drive success.
TCU (6–4) @ #23 Houston (8–2)
Sat 3:00 PM CT (FOX) • Line: Houston -1.5 | Total: 54.5
- Big 12 spot where Houston protects its ranking and TCU plays spoiler.
- TCU QB J. Hoover (2,800 yards, 23 TD) vs Houston RB D. Connors (~725 yards).
- Nearly a pick’em — ideal case study for moneyline vs short spread plays.
CFP Rankings — Week 13 Snapshot
Unbeatens:
1. Ohio State (10–0)
2. Indiana (11–0)
3. Texas A&M (10–0)
One-loss contenders:
4. Georgia (9–1)
5. Texas Tech (10–1)
6. Ole Miss (10–1)
7. Oregon (9–1)
8. Oklahoma (8–2)
9. Notre Dame (8–2)
10. Alabama (8–2)
Also alive:
11. BYU (9–1), 12. Utah (8–2), 13. Miami (8–2), 14. Vanderbilt (8–2), 15. USC (8–2),
16. Georgia Tech (9–1), 17. Texas (7–3), 18. Michigan (8–2), 19. Virginia (9–2),
20. Tennessee (7–3), 21. Illinois (7–3), 22. Missouri (7–3), 23. Houston (8–2),
24. Tulane (8–2), 25. Arizona State (7–3)
Discussion focus:
- Unbeatens control their own destiny; one-loss teams jockey for position.
- Featured games could shake up the 4–10 range and NY6 projections.
- Futures and playoff pricing discussed with mid-November value focus.
Rundown Pick ’Em — Closing Segment
Kyle, Storey, and Josh each gave one official ATS or total pick from the Week 13 board.
Each explained the matchup, key stat angle, and why their number differed from market consensus.
Full picks and results posted in the Discord.
Housekeeping
Episode Release: Thu 11/20/25 • 5:00 AM CT
Duration: 41:14
File Size: 32.2 MB
Audio File: 158-episode-133-week-13-college-football-2025.mp3
Website: collegefootballrundown.com
X/Twitter: @WWCFB
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Contact: wahl@collegefootballrundown.com